Abstract

Traditional clinical prediction models rely on task-specific pipelines and curated, structured data, which scale poorly and underutilize unstructured text. To address this, we introduce future querying, a paradigm that probes whether large language models (LLMs) can function as implicit medical world models by evaluating their ability to answer time-indexed clinical queries about a patient’s future. Our framework operates on unstructured clinical documentation using endpoint-agnostic training, enabling a single model to answer diverse clinical queries over patient trajectories without manual feature engineering or task-specific retraining. We show that small, locally fine-tuned open-weight models can match or approach larger proprietary systems, making the framework suitable for privacy-preserving, on-premise deployment. Evaluated on a new synthetic medical reports dataset and real ICU notes from the MIMIC-IV dataset, our results provide encouraging evidence that LLMs can capture aspects of clinical dynamics.

Links to Paper and Supplementary Materials

Main Paper (Open Access Version): https://papers.miccai.org/miccai-2026-sat/paper/MWM_008.pdf

SharedIt Link: Not yet available

SpringerLink (DOI): Not yet available

Supplementary Material: https://papers.miccai.org/miccai-2026-sat/supp/MWM_008_supp.pdf

Link to Open Review

Open Review Page: https://openreview.net/forum?id=eOlRNEicFT

BibTex

@InProceedings{WilSir_Future_MICCAISAT2026,
        author = { Willems, Siri AND Butterworth, James AND Goetschalckx, Lore AND Vrancx, Peter AND Modard, Philippe AND Giets, Elke AND Denoyer, Ludovic},
        title = { { Future Querying: Can LLMs Serve as Implicit Medical World Models? } },
        booktitle = {Medical Image Computing and Computer Assisted Intervention -- MICCAI 2026 Workshops and Challenges},
        year = {2026},
        publisher = {Springer Nature Switzerland},
        volume = {LNCS 17262},
        month = {pending},
        page = {pending}
}


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