Abstract

The Oncotype DX Recurrence Score (RS) guides adjuvant chemotherapy decisions in ER+/HER2− early-stage breast cancer, but genomic testing is not universally available. Ki67 reflects tumor proliferation and is biologically associated with RS, yet routine assessment is limited by interobserver variability. We investigated whether independently trained and analytically validated AI-based Ki67 quantification tools provide incremental information beyond routinely available clinicopathological variables for estimating the genomic recurrence score. We examined 167 patients who underwent clinical Oncotype DX testing. Archival tumor tissue was assembled into tissue microarrays, stained for Ki67, and digitized. Three independently developed AI models were analytically validated against reference assessments before RS modeling. Associations with continuous RS were evaluated using linear regression, and logistic regression with cross-validation was used to identify patients unlikely to have RS>25. AI-based Ki67 indices were associated with RS and independently explained one-third of RS variance. When combined with routine clinicopathological variables (age, histological grade, ER, and PR), over half of RS variance was explained, and a 0.90 AUROC was achieved for identifying RS>25. At a threshold of ≥95% sensitivity, the combined variables ruled out 44% of patients, with an NPV of 0.97, compared with 10% and 0.88, respectively, using routine clinicopathological variables alone. Rather than replacing genomic testing, the combined use of AI-based Ki67 quantification and routine clinicopathological variables may serve as an accessible, scalable triage tool to identify patients unlikely to have a high genomic recurrence score. Prospective external validation in whole-slide or biopsy cohorts is required before clinical implementation.

Links to Paper and Supplementary Materials

Main Paper (Open Access Version): https://papers.miccai.org/miccai-2026-sat/paper/COMPAYL_075.pdf

SharedIt Link: Not yet available

SpringerLink (DOI): Not yet available

Supplementary Material: Not Submitted

Link to Open Review

Open Review Page: https://openreview.net/forum?id=z5zOn8dXBP&referrer=%5BProgram+Chair+Console%5D%28%2Fgroup%3Fid%3DMICCAI.org%2F2026%2FWorkshop%2FCOMPAYL%2FProgram_Chairs%23submission-status%29

BibTex

@InProceedings{DyAma_AIBased_MICCAISAT2026,
        author = { Dy, Amanda AND Shafique, Abubakr AND Qin, Xiaoli AND Androutsos, Dimitrios AND Done, Susan J. AND Khademi, April},
        title = { { AI-Based Ki67 Quantification for Triage of Genomic Recurrence Score in Breast Cancer } },
        booktitle = {Medical Image Computing and Computer Assisted Intervention -- MICCAI 2026 Workshops and Challenges},
        year = {2026},
        publisher = {Springer Nature Switzerland},
        volume = {LNCS 17251},
        month = {pending},
        page = {pending}
}


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